A Deeply Unscientific Test of Your Political Bias
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Thread: A Deeply Unscientific Test of Your Political Bias

  1. #1
    Ancient Gaseous Emanation Popeye's Avatar
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    Default A Deeply Unscientific Test of Your Political Bias

    Scott Adams
    December 22nd, 2015


    The normal view of human beings is that we are mostly rational, but sometimes we get a bit emotional or crazy. My so-called [Only registered and activated users can see links. ] on reality says the reverse, that we are irrational nearly all the time and that we rationalize our decisions after the fact. That view comes from my experience as a trained hypnotist.

    I know that most of you don’t completely buy into the Moist Robot Hypothesis, so I devised an unscientific test to rattle your confidence in your own rational processes.

    I went into my garage and spent approximately two minutes selecting tools that represent the main political candidates for U.S. president. See how quickly you can tell which tool represents which candidate. My hypothesis is that those of you following American politics will easily map the tools to the candidates. No real “thinking” required. The pattern matching (bias) will be immediate.

    But before you start, remember to observe your own mental processes as they happen, to see if the “thinking” happens before or after you decide which tool is which candidate. I’m betting you’ll decide first and think second. See if you feel it happening that way.

    From the image below, identify the tool that maps to: Rubio, Cruz, Trump, Carson, Clinton, Fiorina, Christie, Paul.



    My hypothesis predicts that you laughed when you saw the huge drill next to the other tools because you instantly knew it was the Trump tool. No thinking required. But I’ll bet you started feeling your rational mind kick-in to identify Cruz and Rubio. And that’s my point.

    Trump is operating on the reflex part of your brain, and intentionally. The other candidates are appealing to your reason. That’s the phenomenon I saw back in the summer, and why I predicted Trump will win in a landslide. He isn’t winning the game so much as playing an entirely different one.

    You know Trump’s babbling, repetitive, content-free, happy-talk? Every bit of it is engineered persuasion. While the other candidates talk statistics and reason, Trump speaks to your emotions. He knows people will pick the strong, decisive, optimistic leader over the candidate that agrees with their own views. We are wired that way. Reagan didn’t win over so many Democrats because his arguments were strong. He won them by emotion. After the fact, people assumed his policies must have been brilliant too. (Cognitive Dissonance.)

    Yesterday there was a [Only registered and activated users can see links. ] making the rounds that said Trump’s polling numbers might underestimate the strength of his support. The observation they make is that folks support Trump in greater numbers when no one is watching them do it. When a pollster calls on the phone, people are less likely to say they support Trump, out of social [Only registered and activated users can see links. ], the researchers suppose. Trump does better with anonymous online polls. The Moist Robot Hypothesis takes this idea one level deeper and says Trump has sent a big portion of the country into cognitive dissonance of the type we have not seen since Reagan. By that hypothesis, people are holding two competing thoughts:

    1. I can’t be a Trump supporter! Noooooooo!!!! I can’t be that person!

    2. He keeps saying things I secretly agree with.

    When folks go into the polling booth in November, and no one is watching, they are likely to be choosing from a candidate who promises to keep their freedoms and dignity intact versus a candidate who is (in their irrational minds) more likely to kill their enemies and keep U.S. citizens alive.

    Predicted result: Trump Landslide.

    I will add to my predictions under the Master Persuader filter and say the polling on the final day of the campaign will do a terrible job of predicting the result. It might get the direction right by then, but not the margin of the win.




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    Last edited by Popeye; 12-24-2015 at 06:28 PM.
    The difference between a Socialist and a Communist is that the Socialist doesn't have all the guns yet.

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    Senior Member NGF Addict! GreybeardBard's Avatar
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    Actually I was trying to figure out which screw driver was "screwy enough" to be Hillary. I tagged the Allen wrench as the "odd man out" aka trump.

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    I just saw a bunch of tools that screw things or drill them.

    Alan
    But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.-Thomas Jefferson

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    I saw the Allen wrench as Hillary. Crooked.
    Mike

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    Funny I just saw a guy with a lousy tool collection that has never been used.

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    When I saw the red tip on the drill I thought, 'replica/fake' and thought, 'Bush'. But Bush isn't an option on the list. Trick question?
    "Behold, I Myself have created the smith who blows the fire of coals and brings out a weapon for its work." Isaiah 54:16

    "Now there was no blacksmith to be found throughout all the land of Israel, for the Philistines said, 'Lest the Hebrews make themselves swords or spears.'" 1 Samuel 13: 19

    "Each of the builders had his sword strapped at his side while he built." Nehemiah 4:17-18

    "Let the one who has no sword sell his cloak and buy one." Luke 22:35-38

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